Global uncertainty is now a constant in financial markets, and Dalal Street is feeling the pressure.Tariff clashes between the US and Europe, shifting political dynamics, and the potential for sudden legal rulings on trade issues have created a tense backdrop.
Experts warn that this could mark the start of a prolonged period of market unpredictability. For investors looking toward 2026, the key question is whether portfolios need a reset.
Nikunj Saraf, CEO of Choice Wealth, advises against trying to predict every twist in global politics. “All of us feel that knot in the stomach when markets react to tariff headlines, but chasing every shock is not a winning strategy,” he says. Instead, he suggests focusing on resilience—building portfolios that can withstand volatility without letting market drama dictate decisions.
Saraf recommends balancing volatile assets like equities with steadier instruments such as bonds, and keeping a small allocation in gold as insurance. His philosophy is simple: a portfolio should remain steady even when the news cycle does not.
Global Shocks, Local SignalsDr. VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, expects near-term volatility to persist. “The uncertainty will continue since both sides have hardened positions in the US-Europe tariff standoff,” he notes. He also warns that a potential US Supreme Court ruling on Trump-era tariffs could instantly shift market sentiment.
On the domestic front, there is some optimism. The IMF has upgraded India’s FY26 GDP growth forecast to 7.3%, signaling confidence in the economy. Early Q3 earnings have been mixed, though the auto sector is expected to boost overall results.
Technically, the market is finding support near 25,473 and has moved above the lower Bollinger Band, reducing immediate downside concerns. However, levels above 25,550 are needed to justify a strong upside view.
So, Should You Hit Refresh?Investors don’t need to overhaul their portfolios. The focus should be on strengthening them—investing in quality stocks, maintaining diversification, and adding steadily during dips rather than panicking.
Global uncertainty may persist, but your portfolio doesn’t have to mirror the chaos. A stable, well-balanced approach remains the most reliable strategy to navigate unpredictable times.
