An upper air cyclonic circulation persisting over the east Equatorial Indian Ocean and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal is likely to intensify, with a low-pressure area expected to form over the central parts of the south Bay of Bengal and adjoining Equatorial Indian Ocean within the next 48 hours, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD).
The IMD stated that the cyclonic circulation, extending up to 5.8 km above mean sea level, was observed over the region at 8:30 am IST on February 15, 2026. Under its influence, weather conditions over the south Bay of Bengal are expected to turn increasingly unsettled, potentially leading to rough sea conditions.
In view of the developing weather system, fishermen have been strongly advised not to venture into vulnerable sea areas between February 15 and February 20.
February 15:Avoid some parts of the southeast and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal, along with the adjoining east Equatorial Indian Ocean.
February 16:Warning extends to parts of the southwest and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal and the east Equatorial Indian Ocean.
February 17 & 18:Fishermen cautioned against venturing into parts of the southwest Bay of Bengal adjoining the east Equatorial Indian Ocean, particularly along and off the south Sri Lanka coast.
February 19:Advisory covers parts of the southwest Bay of Bengal, areas along and off the south Sri Lanka coast, the Gulf of Mannar, and the adjoining Comorin region.